The flu, as deadly, if not more, than the Covid-19? Since the start of the health crisis, some commentators have been surprised by the drastic measures taken to fight the new coronavirus, and compare the provisional assessment of the current epidemic with the figures of the last flu epidemics. According to Public Health France, the 2017-2018 winter flu, for example, caused an excess mortality of 13,000 people. The seasonal flu toll was even higher the year before, with 14,500 deaths.
However, this data cannot be compared with the figures that the authorities have given regarding the Covid. Because the assessment of an epidemic is not measured in real time. The data that the authorities try to communicate every day are imperfect and incomplete, in particular because they do not take into account deaths at home. But also, alas, because the epidemic wave is not over. Each year, for influenza, it is necessary to wait several weeks after the end of the epidemic to make an estimate of mortality. It is not an addition of confirmed cases, but a modeling based on numerous data. The same will apply to the Covid-19 report.
Finally, it should be borne in mind that the mortality currently linked to Covid is observed even though unprecedented measures have been taken by the authorities to try to curb the spread of the virus, precisely because of its seriousness. Despite this, the impact of Covid-19 on the healthcare system has nothing to do with that of seasonal flu. The epidemic of winter flu between November 2017 and March 2018, had resulted in 2922 admissions to intensive care. Since March 19, 2020, there have already been more than 13,000 ICU admissions related to Covid-19.
In short, the population of Marseille is champion of France. No people.
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